Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.035856 0.038704 0.041690 0.045061 0.048765 0.052718 0.057262
2025-04-06 0.030660 0.034586 0.038927 0.044103 0.050130 0.056955 0.065308
2025-04-13 0.027934 0.032581 0.037931 0.044588 0.052702 0.062339 0.074754
2025-04-20 0.025676 0.030752 0.036788 0.044562 0.054400 0.066558 0.082917
2025-04-27 0.024170 0.029616 0.036278 0.045118 0.056683 0.071496 0.092225
2025-05-04 0.022587 0.028216 0.035267 0.044870 0.057799 0.074884 0.099644
2025-05-11 0.021276 0.027041 0.034418 0.044703 0.058920 0.078255 0.107204
2025-05-18 0.020098 0.025944 0.033569 0.044429 0.059807 0.081284 0.114436
2025-05-25 0.019122 0.025041 0.032902 0.044323 0.060868 0.084566 0.122234
2025-06-01 0.018061 0.023954 0.031906 0.043666 0.061051 0.086532 0.128128
2025-06-08 0.017040 0.022862 0.030831 0.042810 0.060854 0.087867 0.133080
2025-06-15 0.016246 0.022041 0.030087 0.042375 0.061231 0.090060 0.139532
2025-06-22 0.015508 0.021271 0.029383 0.041969 0.061638 0.092347 0.146385
2025-06-29 0.014701 0.020362 0.028430 0.041125 0.061299 0.093404 0.151218
2025-07-06 0.014317 0.020050 0.028334 0.041580 0.063029 0.097921 0.162453
2025-07-13 0.013835 0.019566 0.027952 0.041558 0.063971 0.101172 0.171687
2025-07-20 0.013523 0.019321 0.027915 0.042069 0.065811 0.106057 0.184367
2025-07-27 0.013049 0.018808 0.027439 0.041841 0.066378 0.108750 0.193119
2025-08-03 0.012624 0.018350 0.027026 0.041688 0.067055 0.111665 0.202550
2025-08-10 0.012202 0.017880 0.026571 0.041436 0.067533 0.114237 0.211516
2025-08-17 0.011841 0.017488 0.026221 0.041339 0.068270 0.117324 0.221816
2025-08-24 0.011391 0.016939 0.025594 0.040734 0.068051 0.118582 0.228371
2025-08-31 0.010927 0.016351 0.024881 0.039946 0.067449 0.119054 0.233262